Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Lyon
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jan Ojamaa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 14:86
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix MIL (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lou Le Marre (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donovan LEBLANC (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lévi Descombas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rémi Claudepierre (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs issane houachem (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Korsten (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Adam West (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 14:86
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cedric Bernard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Boulanger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Loreau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs steve thiebaut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Roufie (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jachym Flidr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.