Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Jan Ojamaa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix MIL (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 14:86
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lou Le Marre (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Donovan LEBLANC (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lévi Descombas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rémi Claudepierre (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs issane houachem (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph White (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Korsten (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam West (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
14%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cedric Bernard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Bernhardt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Boulanger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Loreau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs steve thiebaut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Roufie (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jachym Flidr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.