Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Lyon
Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Lamouroux (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Alex Chițu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Draw |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Chang Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Jacob (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alban Bonnefoux (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.