Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Lamouroux (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 66:34
Round 6: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Alex Chițu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Draw |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxime Claveau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chang Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Round 5: Win vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Jacob (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alban Bonnefoux (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.