Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Lyon — FaB-Results

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

51st • 8-4-0

58%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Uzuri, Switchblade

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Victor Bousch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Antoine Billy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Dorinthea Ironsong

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.11
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.88
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.16
R12	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Filip Mikołajczyk

54th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.7

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tristan MATEO (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.58
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.58
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.71
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.46

dropped • 6-5-0

55%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs René Schep (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Viserai, Rune Blood

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Louis Caubet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.27
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.12
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.03
R10	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 5-6-0

73%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

5.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Dash I/O

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs mickael assemat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam West (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Fourchon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bruno Marty (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs diego santiago (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.32
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.49
R8	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Benjamin Westmore

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sander Neeft (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Christophe Donnat

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs snith nhotprasa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.55
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Guilherme Coutinho

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Indigo Bosworth (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Viserai, Rune Blood

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tess van Dartel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Valloo (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Erba (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Johannes Schorpp

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.21
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

FREDERIC MOUTARDIER

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Frédéric Pommat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Motta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maël Cousinier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Takis Pavlou (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Thomas VUILLAUMIER

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Virgile Iscan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Dash I/O

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.25
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.55
R6	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Alexandre STEINMETZ

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Dührkop (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maël Cousinier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.13
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Theo Montero Ciscar

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Céline Dugat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Dash I/O

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Pignoux (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dufau Nicolas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Nuu, Alluring Desire

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.29
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Axel Gay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Luca Muratori (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Francois VELASCO (Unknown)

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.88
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maurice Philip (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59

Aurora, Shooting Star

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Valloo (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Marty (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

Kassai of the Golden Sand

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Frédéric Marigo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Uzuri, Switchblade

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.