Kassai of the Golden Sand
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Roufie (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 88:12
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
Round 7: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Altair G. Sánchez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Théo Terracol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
57%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jordan Soubrier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Loss vs Sylvain LE ROUX (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Baird (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frédéric Pommat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.