Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Lyon
Kassai of the Golden Sand
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Roufie (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Round 7: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Altair G. Sánchez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Théo Terracol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jordan Soubrier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Rosenberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sylvain LE ROUX (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Baird (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harry McAlpine (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frédéric Pommat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.