Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Caubet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Alban Bonnefoux (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Achin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs gilles le marchand (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matěj Stejskal (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Collin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Berian (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Céline Dugat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leonardo Asciano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Win vs issane houachem (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Franco (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brakowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Sander Neeft (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam West (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frédéric Pommat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Romain Pelisse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs damien herlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Le Marre (Unknown)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roissac Sylvain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs P.E. Gallais (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hulys Zimmermann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Bottino Valerio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Gérôme Francois (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Flavien Randoux (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Corentin Ruis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
14%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Augé (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Romain Werlen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romain Pelisse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Camille Colin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Albert Rolland (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Florent Leclercq (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoann MARIE-ROSE (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yannick Manca (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.