Dash I/O at Calling: Lyon

Dash I/O

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaap IJlst

41st • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.2

Surp

3.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philippe Milot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.20
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.43
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.79
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.87
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Vlastimil Martinek Jr.

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.55
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.35
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.94

Romain Garcin

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joris Masson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Loreau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.90
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Alain Dang

dropped • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Fourchon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Noa Loisy

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Lieutard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Forte Adrien (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Romain Pelisse

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Josef Doležal

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

mickael assemat

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 33:67

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Thibaut BONNEL

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.