Dash I/O at Calling: Lyon — FaB-Results

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

41st • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philippe Milot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

Nuu, Alluring Desire

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Billy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Nuu, Alluring Desire

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.39
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.67
R12	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Vlastimil Martinek Jr.

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.29
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Gardize (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joris Masson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Loreau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Kassai of the Golden Sand

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maxence Gobert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Fourchon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Grondin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stuart Turner (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gérôme Francois (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Katsu, the Wanderer

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

Aurora, Shooting Star

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Lieutard (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Forte Adrien (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Viserai, Rune Blood

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.21
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Nuu, Alluring Desire

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

mickael assemat

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.