Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-5-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Léo Toulouse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Albert GUYO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.