Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Calling: Lyon
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+5.2
Perf
7.1
Surp
8.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joscha Amann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Round 10: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
8.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Clark (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roissac Sylvain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clément Bernier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Killian HENRY (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jachym Flidr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 20:80
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillaume Ricros (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giovanni Korsten (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Sion (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Pignoux (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 20:80
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Pignoux (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-2
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nolan Varone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Draw |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Draw |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cyril LEROUX (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Albert Rolland (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Killian Allouard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wozniak Brice (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.