Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+4.5
Perf
6.3
Surp
7.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joscha Amann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 81:19
Round 7: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 10: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
7.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Clark (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roissac Sylvain (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clément Bernier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Killian HENRY (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jachym Flidr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs enzo costa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guillaume Ricros (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giovanni Korsten (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Sion (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Mamonas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Loss vs Nikos Louganis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Pignoux (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Kihl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Pignoux (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-2
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nolan Varone (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Konrad Paziewski (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Gianluigi Lia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Alexandre Laloy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cyril LEROUX (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Loss vs Albert Rolland (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hugo Croizet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Killian Allouard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Chavelard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wozniak Brice (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Brunoni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.