Aurora, Shooting Star at Calling: Lyon
Aurora, Shooting Star
40 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Rob Catton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
12th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
100%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jachym Flidr (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Caubet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathanaël frederic (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fahri Findik (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samuele Costantini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
19th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sander Neeft (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 8: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Round 11: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luca Muratori (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Achin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christophe Donnat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Markovič (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs May Made (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
35th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finn Baird (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
Round 4: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoann MARIE-ROSE (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Winning (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Lauria (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
43rd • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Gomes (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Caubet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
49th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurent LECOMTE (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Duruy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ian Zhang (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
62nd • 7-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (7.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
65th • 7-5-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Kerr (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Motta (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vladislav Kirichenko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
76th • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs damien herlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (6.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Dufau Nicolas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Svetozar Petrushkov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Dolejš (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hulys Zimmermann (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christos Zisimos (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Seichais (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Soubrier (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tristan MATEO (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maurice Philip (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominique JABES (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Gement (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bart Horré (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Philippe Jacob (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs steve thiebaut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Boulanger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Romain Lecuyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs André Ferreira (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charles Duruy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kryštof Halmo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs pierre marcueyz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandros Modestou (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yannick Manca (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxence Palkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Loïc Hervé (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Rank (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver M (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Reuter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nicolas levillain (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Virgile Iscan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Lemerle (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Koller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frédéric Pommat (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cyprien Lagalie (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Achin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maël Cousinier (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charly Bizard (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Denis Müller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Forte Adrien (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Marty (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raphaël Caliendo Spera (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon EYRAGNE (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Axel Gay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benoît Geay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Svetozar Petrushkov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathieu Isorce (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florent Leclercq (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs gilles le marchand (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs issane houachem (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Simon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix MIL (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Remy Geral (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Coutellec (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Asciano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs damien herlin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Quek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Brakowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noa Loisy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gilles le marchand (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Querol (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.