Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikos Louganis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vlastimil Martinek Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antoine Billy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Claudio Paradiso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Romain Werlen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs José Guimarães (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs snith nhotprasa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Semelagne (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tadhg Treacy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillaume Ricros (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Charles Duruy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julien Vu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Duruy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Boiardi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maxence Palkowski (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Guillaume Pastor (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoann MARIE-ROSE (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jan Ojamaa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Asciano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mersol (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.