Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kano, Dracai of Aether
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 27:73
Nuu, Alluring Desire
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Meneveau (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 17:83
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florent Leclercq (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Dash I/O
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alain Dang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jan Ojamaa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
dropped 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.