FaB-Results
Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Allison Shelton
37th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Birkan Gokbag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Billal Mahmoud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sage Freiri (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Dash I/O
!!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Kongsle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Blaine Pascu
49th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Gomez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Valenuzela (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Thietz (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Zavier Grech
56th • 2-4-1
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Platz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathon Weiss (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
Puffin, Hightail
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
Dash I/O
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Jason Ginn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angelica Semenec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Michael Lawton
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Khoi Tu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Oursler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nate Peters (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.