Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Celina Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Osorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phil Hensley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Win vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Oursler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.