Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nelson Lagat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Kuhn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Franche Tan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eli Barila (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sammy Ha (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Tabarejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zavier Grech (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sean Kongsle (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
42nd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nate Peters (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Tayag (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Blaine Morry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zoe Daniels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Tabarejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nate Peters (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Pemberton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.