Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

23rd 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Dastas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Franche Tan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 58:42
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zavier Grech (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Conner (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sage Freiri (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45th 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nelson Lagat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melora Cayce (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Freeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dean Carr (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xander Toepfer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Neet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
Dash I/O
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah House (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Lind (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vyas Kepler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Dash I/O
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.