Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened: Sonoma 2025
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Putz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.