FaB-Results

Arakni, Huntsman at Battle Hardened: Sonoma 2025

Arakni, Huntsman

Arakni, Huntsman

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Taylor Morrow
2nd • 8-1-1
70%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corey Harris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Osorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Brandon Lule (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will Freeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Jose Moreno
62nd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vyas Kepler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Dash I/O
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Ginn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Westbrook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bailey Kehret (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blaine Morry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryno Myburgh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jackson Flint (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.