Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Sonoma 2025
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Daugherty (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Brishen Jaimes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Clayton Bucholz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.