FaB-Results

Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Sonoma 2025

Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Leo Galbraith
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Avila (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sage Freiri (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Will Freeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sammy Ha (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Perkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Corey Harris
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vlad Kokhanevich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Pemberton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.