FaB-Results

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Sonoma 2025

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonah Overholt
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Donati (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Dash I/O
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Harris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Tabarejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angelica Semenec (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Keaton Landenberger
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamen Vedova (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Parker Pemberton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Dash I/O
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Montoya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.