Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Allison Shelton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Will Stubbs (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blaine Morry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.