Prism, Awakener of Sol
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brendan Peters (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Coiffc (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Kassiotis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ewan Bailey-Thielw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Ryan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Fry (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Euan Ansell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
5th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yousef Mnahy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Gale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Jemima Evans (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max Chapman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Reid (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
18th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Giles (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lomas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Simon Nixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gothstana Mayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
33rd • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Barton Cann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Gothstana Mayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Holtzman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ewan Bailey-Thielw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
42nd • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kale Brenzi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliott Low Choy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.