Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Perth

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robert Wise

19th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sean Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeffrey Anderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jordan Reid (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 83:17

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 12:88

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.67
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.18
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Ali Ryan

25th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Gale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 12:88

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Lomas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Hodges (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jemima Evans (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Hayden Buys

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sean Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Anderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 12:88

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yousef Mnahy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.40
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.24
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.