Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Julian Cavenoni (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Barton Cann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Hussey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Holtzman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.