Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Perth 2025 (Beyond Odyssey)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julian Cavenoni (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ali Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Barton Cann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Hussey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Holtzman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.