Battle Hardened: Perth 2025 (Beyond Odyssey) - Dorinthea Ironsong (CC)

Dorinthea Ironsong

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ewan Bailey-Thielw

16th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Kassiotis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Lucev (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Nixon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Elliott Low Choy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brodey Plecas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.03
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.43

Jordan Reid

28th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Kijak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 61:39

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Wise (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jarrod Bowler (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simon Nixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27

Ruairidh Wasson

29th • 3-3-0

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Fry (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gavin Chappell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Bannon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Elliott Low Choy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.67
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.15
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.23

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.