Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Perth 2025 (Beyond Odyssey)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Reid (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jarrod Bowler (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kale Brenzi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barton Cann (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.