Battle Hardened: Perth 2025 (Beyond Odyssey) - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Max Chapman

9th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sandro Pitt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Hodges (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Ryan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Giles (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Sammy Mnahy

10th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Callum Jarvis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Megumi Hori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Gale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Nixon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sean Fry (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Sean Peters

32nd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Buys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Wise (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin MacKenzie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sandro Pitt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kale Brenzi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jeffrey Anderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.68
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

Liam Hussey

37th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Bradford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Callum Jarvis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Austin MacKenzie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gavin Chappell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.42
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Callum Jarvis

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Mnahy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Hussey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kale Brenzi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Rato (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Jack Manea

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gavin Chappell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Skokleski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.