Arakni, Marionette at Battle Hardened: Perth 2025 (Beyond Odyssey)
Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Hussey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Fry (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Tomich (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan Peters (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Bannon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.