
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.