Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin MacKenzie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valdis Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Elliott Low Choy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jemima Evans (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Anderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yousef Mnahy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.