Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Green (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
20th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi ()
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
43rd • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
44th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
57th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
60th • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.