Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Green (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
20th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi ()
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
43rd • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
44th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
57th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
60th • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.