Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
23rd • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
Round 7: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
29th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juho Hälli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kasper Honkanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
34th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
36th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
49th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
Round 4: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
55th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
62nd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristaps Štils (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
68th • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kasper Honkanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walter Heidelberger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kasper Honkanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.