Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-3-0
80%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
14th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
21st • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Kasper Honkanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
32nd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
45th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
46th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
53rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
65th • 2-3-2
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
71st • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Green (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.