Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025 - Dorinthea Ironsong (CC)

Dorinthea Ironsong

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rickard Ekermann

15th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.09
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.53
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.90

Sebastian Niedzielec

69th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sami Belkhorfi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Botond Szujó

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Stanislau Chykileuski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Win	✗	0.86	1.42
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.96
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.