Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tommaso Ariatti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
24th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
27th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
41st • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
51st • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
56th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Carr (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emil Lohse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Declan Patrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.