Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
35th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs enzo costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Wiesner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
40th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Zussev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
58th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs damien herlin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Kaiser (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.