Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kasper Honkanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Fang, Dracai of Blades

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

Dash I/O

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Win	✗	0.86	0.35
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.33
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.36
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.