Puffin, Hightail at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kasper Honkanen

17th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Jarl Vetreiði

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.31
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.59
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Aleksandr Sevostjanovic

42nd • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Christensen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rene Gropp (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.36
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Andersson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.74
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.35
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

John Christensen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julia Brown (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Christensen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.