Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elaine Cao

5th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.32
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.71
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Andersson

61st • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.32
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-

Vilhelmas Rudys

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.67
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.79
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Kristaps Štils

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.