Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elaine Cao

5th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.50
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

David Andersson

61st • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Valls Reinecke (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aleksandr Sevostjanovic (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.26
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-

Vilhelmas Rudys

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.50
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Kristaps Štils

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.