Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Copenhagen 2025

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthias Verbeeck

52nd • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Brockhage (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Fabrizio Cenacchi ()

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Bradbury (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 80:20

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.21
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.67
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Adam Urban

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lari Lampainen (Unknown)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vilhelmas Rudys (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.52
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Bartłomiej Chrobak

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.88
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Mariusz Suchanecki

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tom Lorente (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juho Hälli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.