Arakni, Marionette
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
80%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabrizio Cenacchi ()
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lewis Day (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | 50% | Loss | |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
5th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Linus Albat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
47th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bino Nolting (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tobias Neller (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
63rd • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Beese (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mantas Banevicius (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
66th • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Eid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Jones (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.