
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
38th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 5: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.