Prism, Awakener of Sol
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
8.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Win vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 15: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
8.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
66th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michalis Michael (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
59th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jc Kairos (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 14: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
75th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
106th • 5-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
68th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Löhe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Law Wen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 13: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
104th • 4-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ping How Ng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 13: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Vargas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Cooper (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 5: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phan Quan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chang Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.