Jarl Vetreiði at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Jarl Vetreiði
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cecil Fletcher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.