Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.37
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.96
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Josh Lind

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.50
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Alan Jernigan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Cayle Mccreath

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.56
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Hayden Jeanson

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cecil Fletcher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.47
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Stephen Brian Lim

dropped • 1-4-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.