Pro Tour: Singapore 2025 - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

46 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

shirui wu

1st • 10-2-0

92%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

5.8

Surp

8.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R17 CC

Round 17: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R18 CC

Round 18: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

8.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.21
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.42
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R16	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R17	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.38
R18	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Enki Dupaquier

2nd • 9-3-0

75%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.1

Surp

6.4

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs SEAN STELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R17 CC

Round 17: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R18 CC

Round 18: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.04
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.05
R14	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.59
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.22
R16	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R17	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.69
R18	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arthur Trehet

5th • 8-2-0

70%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

6.1

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

20:80

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.09
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.04
R15	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Win	✗	0.78	3.25
R16	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Hamilton

5th • 6-3-1

60%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.6

Surp

5.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.12
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.34
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.17
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.30
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.31
R16	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brodie Spurlock

17th • 8-1-0

67%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

8.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

8.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.51
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.11
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.51
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Jacob Clements

43rd • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

6.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.13
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.79
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.78
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.46
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Pablo Pintor

44th • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.34
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.40
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.76
R15	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.89

Justin Cu

45th • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bill Dower (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.16
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.65
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.70
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.91
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.81

Tariq Patel

79th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.9

Surp

7.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carter Barton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.40
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.57

Bartosz Ziemba

16th • 6-2-1

89%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.11
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.40
R14	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.51
R15	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.89

Tigran Grigorian

40th • 6-2-1

89%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.65
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Andre Ryan See

10th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.48
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.70
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jimmy Niro Demers

24th • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

5.0

Surp

5.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.18
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.34
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.11
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.23
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Choi Tae seong

36th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.30
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.28
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.81

Oliver Berry

58th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.11
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.26
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chu Heng Eng

67th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.62

Simon Nielsen

110th • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.4

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.05
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R12	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R14	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.95

Tobias Schmiedeberg

52nd • 4-4-1

78%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.23
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Lewis

69th • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.88
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.68
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Kelvin Tan

88th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.63
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.28
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R15	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Nicholas Tran

83rd • 2-7-0

67%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.06
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kuan Li

dropped • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.19
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.19
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Bartosz Dominiak

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Colin Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.21
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.49
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Isaac Katsakis

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.50
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Andy Kim

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.14
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Evan Tanguy

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.63
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51

Isaac Murray

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.32
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Thomas Neseyif-Deakin

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.63
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.30
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

kuba tambor

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Antonio Kutter

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.95
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bird Cabrera

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Evan Herndon

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.10
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Fahad Rahman

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.30
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Mirko Macchia

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.31
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.66
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Pat Eshghy

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Eric Nguyễn

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ezequiel Emeraldo

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.57
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Haziq Ghazale

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Lucas Ng

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.34
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Michael Feng

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Rafael Salsa

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 雄斗宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Riccardo Bonfiglioli

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.70
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Aaron Boyhan

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

EITARO SHIBATA

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

OLEKSII MAKODZEBA

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.