Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
46 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
9.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R18 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
2nd • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.3
Surp
6.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SEAN STELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R18 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
5th • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 15: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-1
40%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 15: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (4/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Draw |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
17th • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
4.6
Surp
7.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
Round 12: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Connor Leverton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
43rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
44th • 7-2-0
22%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Odi Winata (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
45th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bill Dower (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
79th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
8.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Barton (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
8.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
16th • 6-2-1
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
40th • 6-2-1
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
10th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
24th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
6.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
36th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
5.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
58th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
67th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
110th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 13: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Vincent Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
52nd • 4-4-1
56%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 13: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
69th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
88th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
83rd • 2-7-0
56%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 14: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
Round 2: Win vs Eugene Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Gary Lynch (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
Round 4: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Brakowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Toh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.