Dorinthea Ironsong at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025

Dorinthea Ironsong

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Madeline Southwood

30th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27

75:25

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.31
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.62
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.65	2.21
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.72
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Sebastian Lim

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.60
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Marsha Ho

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oh Oh

dropped • 1-4-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.66
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

YuDi Chen

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.