Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
27th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Round 12: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
107th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
89th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Round 15: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.