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Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

岡西 達也
13th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
Deck
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Jude Cornett
27th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.9
Diff
Deck
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Bun Ar
107th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Deck
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Ryosuke Urase
89th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
Deck
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Brian Lim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shirui wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Oscar Vargas
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Deck
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Dash I/O
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
masaru okuda
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Dash I/O
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
SEAN STELL
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Deck
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs OLEKSII MAKODZEBA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
雄斗 宮地
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Deck
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liang Choong Poh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Jurij Di Carlo
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
Deck
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Yoshiaki Okamoto
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Deck
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Dorinthea Ironsong
!!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Abdurrahman Putra
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Deck
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lillianna Student (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.