Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

76th 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dash I/O
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 36:64
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.