Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 9-2-0
73%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
7.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brandon Peh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Law Wen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R16 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R17 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Leasure (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
91st • 5-3-1
44%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Win vs Tariq Patel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bun Ar (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chang Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
55th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nova Chan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Choi Tae seong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
57th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
70th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs augustine shim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Clément LOUBIERE (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
81st • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Malcolm Song (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
87th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Maher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jiahao Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 15: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs IAN MESQUITA (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jude Cornett (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Li (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Grant Bartel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs YuDi Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Andy Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Hayden Dale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cecil Fletcher (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Chua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chang Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shing Tsang (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cas Mulder (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Dennhardt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.