Katsu, the Wanderer at Pro Tour: Singapore 2025
Katsu, the Wanderer
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raine Karan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Braulio Mora (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Clark (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Lux (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Krishan Patel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Guarober (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.